Obama-Edwards 2008: why Hillary didn't actually win in New Hampshire.
2 reasons Hillary didn't actually win in New Hampshire:
Reason 1: Certainly Hillary beat Obama by 2% in New Hampshire, hardly a resounding victory for a candidate who had been leading in the polls there for *all* of 2007 (especially after Obama's resounding 9% win in Iowa). But Hillary actually *lost* to Obama-Edwards 2008 by a huge margin--15 percentage points. If I were Hillary, I think I'd quit now (not that I'd ever be crazy enough to run for president or any other political office in the first place).
Reason 2: Some 3% of Hillary's lead over Obama (that is, *all* of it!) can be attributed to the purely random *luck* of order effect. (And if you don't believe that, let me know, and we can talk about it further, because it's *easily* empirically demonstrable. Even *you* probably fall prey to order effect in some area of your life.)
2 comments:
b have you seen this: http://www.dehp.net/candidate/
also these:
http://therealnews.com/web/index.php?thisdataswitch=0&thisid=778&thisview=item
http://therealnews.com/web/index.php?thisdataswitch=0&thisid=777&thisview=item
Funny how the minor candidates seem to the the only ones with a realistic programme.
try this
and this
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